This is my first attempt to create a top ten out of the few contenders currently pointed at the Kentucky Derby. It will change many times between now and then, but I figured, what the heck. So here goes.
1. Old Fashioned--looks much the best right now. I like his style (although I'd like to see him rate behind horses and lay close instead of taking the lead) and I like the fact that he wins big. I'll be watching him very closely as the year goes on.
2. Vineyard Haven--if Old Fasioned is at the top, this one has to be as well, because he has similar style and has won his races in similar fashion. He looks like he could be a big factor as well, but he'll be training in Dubai, and I have yet to see them get one over here for the Derby.
3. Stardom Bound--I like her alot. In fact, her sire, Tapit was my third choice in the very first Derby I handicapped (he finished 9th). She comes from behind though, which is a hard place to be in a field of 20. However, it is definately possible, and I've watched her races and I must say I'm impressed. She's been coming around the far turn very wide, and that could be a big help on Derby Day. I'll be waiting to see what she can do against the boys.
4. Midshipman--I'm not really that impressed by him, but he's the Juvenile winner, so here he is.
5. Square Eddie--needs to return to previous form and start winning again, but looked great as a two year old.
6. Saratoga Sinner--impressive in Holy Bull
7. Beethoven--might be better than he looked in Holy Bull
8. Nicanor--I'm ambitious with this one, but he's here because I can't forget what his brother (Barbaro) did in 2006.
9. Pioneer of the Nile--fought gamely in the Cash Call Futurity, and I really like his bloodlines.
10. Patena--is popular with the experts on Kentuckyderby.com and has good lines, so even though I know very little about him, he's here for now.
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